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Gold, Power, and the Market’s Search for an Anchor

Jan 30, 2026, 2:16 pm GMT

Unless you have been under a rock for the past 24 hours you will have seen the dramatic take down of both gold and silver. With gold sliding towards sub $5,000 and silver breaking back below $100 an ounce. The speed and decisiveness of the move both yesterday and this morning suggested less a slow reassessment of fundamentals than a market being steered toward specific levels at a moment when positioning and sentiment were already stretched.

The timing was no coincidence. Daily, weekly and monthly closes coincided, drawing attention to psychologically significant thresholds that continue to shape short-term behaviour. Gold near $5,000 and silver near $100 carry little economic meaning in isolation, but they exert a powerful influence on positioning, particularly when recent gains have encouraged leverage and complacency. Once weakness appeared, it created conditions in which selling could feed on itself, amplifying pressure on prices that had risen sharply in a short period.

Two forces converged.

The first was technical and opportunistic. After an extraordinary run that carried gold toward $5,600 an ounce and silver to levels not imagined before, both metals had become expressions of monetary easing, geopolitical tension and inflation anxiety. Short-term futures traders were heavily involved, and profit-taking was inevitable. As long positions were reduced, selling pressure intensified, allowing larger players to exploit the imbalance and force prices lower, particularly where it unsettled momentum-driven strategies.

The second force was political, arriving at precisely the wrong moment for a market already vulnerable to reversal.

President Trump confirmed on Friday morning that Kevin Warsh would be his nominee for the next chair of the Federal Reserve. Markets reacted immediately. US equities fell, Treasury yields moved higher, the dollar strengthened, and gold and silver extended their decline. The response reflected a sudden recalibration of expectations around US monetary policy, after months in which investors had grown comfortable assuming that further rate cuts would arrive with little resistance.

Trump wants lower rates. Warsh is perceived as less inclined to deliver them quickly. Faced with that contradiction, markets chose to reduce exposure rather than wait for nuance to assert itself.

The result was a sharp adjustment that revealed how sensitive the current environment has become to even subtle shifts in policy signalling. It would be easy to interpret the violence of the move as a verdict on gold and silver themselves. That reading misses the point. Episodes like this tend to reflect who was holding an asset and how, rather than a reassessment of why it is held in the first place. Declines driven by positioning, calendar effects and political headlines are uncomfortable, but they do not, on their own, invalidate the broader case.

Gold and Silver Smashed: What’s Driving It?

Looking beyond the charts, it is striking how little has changed in the underlying environment. Inflation remains above target. Fiscal discipline remains elusive. Political risk has not diminished. If anything, the past week has highlighted how quickly expectations can shift when monetary policy, markets and politics intersect.

This broader context gives added colour to developments elsewhere that have attracted far less attention than the price action.

Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin operator, continues to accumulate physical gold at scale, with reported holdings now around 140 tonnes and additional purchases ongoing. This is not speculative behaviour. It reflects a strategic decision about what ultimately underpins confidence in a digital financial system that aspires to operate at scale.

Crypto was built on the promise of escape from legacy monetary structures. Bitcoin was intended to replace gold, not quietly reinforce it. Yet the most systemically important player in the stablecoin market is anchoring itself to an asset that yields nothing, cannot be printed, and depends on no institution’s promise.

This suggests that the future financial system may be less revolutionary than layered. Digital rails at the top, designed for speed and efficiency. Beneath them, assets selected precisely because they do not respond to incentives, narratives or policy preferences. 

Gold’s appeal has never rested on smooth performance, but on its capacity to retain credibility when confidence elsewhere weakens.


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